2022.01.22 17:31 Oak_Guardian *You Don’t Lose Money Unless You Sell*
Financial markets continued to "correct" this week. A lot of you are debating whether to sell your stocks amongst all the doom and the Federal Reserve Rate Meeting this week, likely to serve as a staging post en route to the first rate rise, which we expect to come in March. You may also be speculating a hike could be announced this month. Personal opinion - such a move would fly in the face of the Fed’s guidance that rate rises can begin after the end of tapering in March. Fed is likely to stick to that script, as raising rates sooner could send the message that Fed officials are more worried about inflation than they have let on.
Here’s what you need to know: Don’t Sell. Again just so it registers - DO. NOT. SELL. Understood? Good. Stop reading. The rest of this piece is for people who are inquisitive or not convinced. A few weeks of RED isn't a sign we are headed for a long bear market, and remember economists are notoriously terrible at predicting markets.
Let me be clear: I've a long history of investing however I have no idea whether stocks are going to keep tumbling or if they’ll quickly rebound. The simple fact is that you don’t know either. No one does. What we do know is that market crashes happen, however you define them. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has had one-day declines of 3% or more nearly 100 times. It’s had two dozen days where it fell by 5% or more. Slow motion crashes where big declines are spread out over several trading days are even more common, but every one of those declines has been followed by a rebound! Sometimes right away, sometimes takes weeks or months, but when it comes it comes quickly. If you wait until the rebound is clearly visible, you’ve already missed the biggest gains.
To put this phenomenon into proper perspective here is a chart for you.
Processing img 4vjvcse7sad81...
Ok now for the bad news - Expect a major market sell off in the first half of this year Followed by good news - A Fed reversal will give way to a massive rally after the sell off, says Zulauf. "That will then trigger another wave up to new highs in 2023 and 2024."
This dance has played out over and over since day one of the stock market. The problem is our predictable nature, in that it didn't take long for Wall Street and Hedgies to figure out that unsophisticated retail investors (everyday people) are easily manipulated, and they soon figured out ways to exploit them. They'd find ways of getting access to news stories before they go public, or worse, completely fabricate stories and leak them to the press, then get into positions that make them money as the retail investors flood in, and use options or short selling to make money as the stock plummets when everyone discovers the stories were exaggerated or fake. They rig the market by manufacturing volatility, then profiting off that volatility. What's the moral of the story? "Big money" sells at the top (latest example Nov/Dec 2021) so if you sell during this market downturn (Jan 2022) you are allowing big money to buy back your stocks at bargain prices! You lose, they win. Hence.....Don't Sell
Essentially I believe we're in a price correction, a result of the end of highly overpriced valuations. If you have rational faith in a company and its future growth, then just hold. Just because we're suffering a correction, it doesn't mean that tech or growth stocks overall don't have a future. Anybody who tells you otherwise is either bitter because they bought high or just wants to feel better about their slow growth positions. Avoid speculating and do your own DD.
Over the long term, the stock market has historically returned an average of about 10% before taxes, which is more than any other asset class. Stay calm and take advantage of opportunities - I wanted to come here and remind everyone of this before all the doom and gloom posts take over. The market pulling back is NORMAL. There are only 3 good reasons to sell:
2022.01.22 17:31 nicosensei [ Porsche GT2RS] at my workplace, that we’ve got for sale !
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2022.01.22 17:31 V_it0 Wos treniert a?
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2022.01.22 17:31 youranimegf19 Where would you bury your face in first?🥵
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2022.01.22 17:31 ZoolShop The Weeknd Dethrones Justin Bieber as Prince of Pop with New Spotify Record
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2022.01.22 17:31 VioletOrchid85 How much choice is there with the new plastic Krieg?
I decided to preorder the new Krieg box (my local Warhammer is only getting one or two boxes, I've guessed this number from his reaction when I suggested three) and I'm curious to know how others have used the kit.
What's the current situation with Guard HQ and Command Squads?
I seem to recall they split them for the 8th edition codex?
For normal Infantry Squads, it looks like you can near enough do all weapon loadouts.
Thanks for any replies :)
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2022.01.22 17:31 lifeisaight [WTS] Jordan 4 red thunder size 8 $340 shipped
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2022.01.22 17:31 corxntin Just publishing the form here to make everyone’s life easier.
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2022.01.22 17:31 SalusaSecundus Clue 1
From delta to omicron,
what a marathon
Getting from last year to
Strap on your mask, get
down to the task
Let fresh treasure be your
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2022.01.22 17:31 elquemiramemes23 has visto demasiados memes, descansa un rato
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2022.01.22 17:31 AWEONASO4LIFE_CTM Mis pensamientos negativos me consumen junto con la desmotivación y no quiero hacer nada (mucho texto)
En base al título, el hecho de ponerme una meta a todo tipo de plazo me resulta desmotivador en su máxima expresión, vivo desmotivado y sin hacer nada más que escuchar música , jugar videojuegos, revisar mi celular y ver ficción, he estado en terapia varias veces en un modo de atención llamado CAPSE (estudiantes de psicología te hacen terapia gratuita) pero el proceso de atención está en vacaciones así que me encuentro solo lidiando con mi gran desmotivación y desinterés por la vida, he crecido con un padre controlador el cual me ocultaba de su familia legítima y una madre sumisa por el, he vivido en una constante zona de confort escapando de este mundo de cualquier manera posible a través de la tecnología, crecí también con baja autoestima y mucha inseguridad lo que me llevo a pasar años de bullying y rechazó, en 2020 murió mi despreciable padre y porfin he podido tener una familia normal con mi madre a pesar de eso no tengo un interes en trabajar en mi ni en mi salud mental porque no veo un sentido ni una gran recompensa, solamente tengo 16 años y solo he aprendido a tener buenas calificaciones y a autosabotearse , siento una gran tristeza al ver a la gente de mi edad desarrolandose, cumpliendo sueños, tener talentos, hobbies y buenas experiencias en cambio yo un desmotivado que no quiere nada más que ver su celular y jugar videojuegos, no tengo nada que me amarre a este mundo pero me da miedo morir sin hacer hecho algo lindo en esta vida pero no tengo la energía para hacerlo, mis anteriores terapeutas descartaron que tenga algún tipo de depresión como detalle para complementar esto
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2022.01.22 17:31 Cheetahtoo Three healthy foods that help you lose weight and maintain a healthy digestive system, heart and eyes.
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2022.01.22 17:31 Double_d5050 Inmate Pen pals
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2022.01.22 17:31 jfitz666 Michelle Pfeiffer as Catwoman in copics
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2022.01.22 17:31 MxntyBxbbleTea Looking for rh rose bouquet
2022.01.22 17:31 Irishish What would make you open to a return to almost entirely pre-COVID normalcy?
Been going back and forth with conservative relatives, my wife and therapist about this. In the wake of omicron, it's clear that while vaccination is necessary and masks help reduce spread, I feel like this is just never...gonna...end. It used to be about vaccination, now vaccination is a mitigation measure instead of fully preventative. Used to be temporary, now it seems like the new normal is last summer where I still can't have more than a couple people in my home at a time and going to a concert or a convention is an incredible risk. I've had it, my wife has had it, most of my extended family has had it, many friends have had it, some are dealing with long COVID but most have bounced back.
I know we need to protect the most vulnerable people. I know we need to make sacrifices, and I know some behaviors should change permanently (had an infuriating conversation with a conservative who ridiculed the idea of normalizing wearing a mask when you have a cold, even with all other restrictions dropped). But...I can't keep doing this. I can't. There's no visible end point anymore. I can read all the stories of overwhelmed emergency rooms in the world, but we prevent that with vaccination, right? When can I throw a party again, when can I go to an anime convention without my wife asking me if it's "really worth it," even when we make sure we're not going anywhere near any vulnerable people anytime soon?
I admitted yesterday that I am losing it as I try to set up the umpteenth Zoom hangout. My comedy group, the last consistent outlet I had for speaking to friends and creating things every week, dissolved last Friday. And when I tell all this to my wife she says maybe if the weather is nicer next month we can host small outdoor gatherings around fire pits again. Maybe we can spend a weekend with two friends in the middle of nowhere.
What does the end look like? When can I invite people over without running a cost benefit analysis again? I no longer have an answer. I'm wondering if any of you do.
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2022.01.22 17:31 LoveYouLotss Is the application for the $10,000 grant due on January 21st or February 4th? I’m seeing conflicting dates.
2022.01.22 17:31 Siauriene wall of fresh do be chuffin back a fat dart doe 🚬
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2022.01.22 17:31 MisterHazeee Still struggling to correct whatever is going on with this girl. Fortunately growth hasn't slowed down much at all but I'd really like to fix whatever is going on. More details in comments.
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2022.01.22 17:31 Vampsorrow I finally got max item power level, after 600+ hours 😅
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2022.01.22 17:31 Borsewastaken My mind has been emptied it is like an empty fishbowl
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2022.01.22 17:31 loliesmilos Late night munchies
2022.01.22 17:31 FallCompetitive7976 22-January I am still here
2022.01.22 17:31 jheckino Two Memes, One Post
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